Search results - Prediki Prediction Markets GmbH

… by perceived factor importance. Defined the purpose. Some purposes on how to define success of New Demarchy: 1. 50 active members within the first 12 months (active = three or more actions = participations …

Last: Jan. 10, 2020, 23:23:58

USD 30.03

How many members will New Demarchy have in the end of 2016?

… This question will be judged by the total number of members of any and all organisations world-wide on 31 December 2016 which are founded to further New Demarchy in the spirit of "The New …

Last: June 26, 2017, 11:09:37
Settled

USD 10.00

When will New Demarchy complete its first successful pilot project?

… A pilot project of New Demarchy is defined as a political issue subject to a decision by a local, regional, or national political body, taken up by ND and dealt with by following a process according …

Last: Dec. 29, 2019, 11:40:05
Settled

USD 10.02

Will New Demarchy produce better policy impact forecasts than professional politicians already in 2...

… According to the manifesto, New Demarchy will capture policy impact predictions by politicians and run them as prediction questions on the prediction market. For some of these, final results …

Last: Jan. 10, 2020, 23:23:58
Settled

USD 10.01

New Demarchy FAQ

… of such a political party has started in December 2015 for public participation here: New demarchy foundation. After its foundation, everybody can join and is welcome, as everybody is an expert in something. Can I …

Last: May 12, 2016, 03:02:42

Industry health: Will the market research industry grow or shrink from 2016 to 2020, and why?

… be no nuclear power... Traditional will be the foundation for new and more complelling methodologies. 1. the economic situation is in a upward direction, and we're only at the start of a cycle 2. Combined …

Last: March 11, 2022, 02:55:02
Settled

USD 40.00

The New Demarchy Manifesto ("Politics without Politics")

… . Can it improve politics? How fast can we get it? Then post your predictions and reasons here: New demarchy foundation You can join us at our next monthly New Demarchy Meetup meetup in Vienna. You can …

Last: April 12, 2021, 03:56:17

A New Perspective on Survey Distortions

… on the very foundations of our democracy. A better alternative On a prediction market, respondents must always predict an objective future fact. For example, a prediction question for a tax increase would ask …

Last: April 19, 2018, 08:45:23

What will the exchange rate of US$ per Bitcoin be at the end of 2013?

… US$ 50 to 100 US$ 20 to 50 US$ Up to 20 US$ Now I'm silly for cashing out on this one aren't I? :( Yes, seems like you missed out a bit since July. But new day, new trade ... Good …

Last: Jan. 8, 2014, 05:32:57
Settled

USD 133.98

Futurist's Tools: Prediction Markets vs. Delphi Method

… trends. Without such foresight, all strategy development and innovation programs is built on shaky or even unsuitable foundations. One relatively well-known such tool is the Delphi method which originated …

Last: May 13, 2022, 11:47:30

Prediction Markets: A Better Alternative

… for German pollsters. The nemesis of traditional agencies goes by the abbreviation AfD. None of the four leading German polling institutes were able to estimate the vote share of the new party even remotely …

Last: March 14, 2017, 11:51:02

Will Ethereum 2.0 go live during 2020 and if yes, when?

… 2020 its new and can run in to some difficulties 非常期待 Justin Drake, researcher at the Ethereum Foundation and Ethereum 2.0.He said that the fifth anniversary of the Ethereum blockchain, July 30, 2020 …

Last: Dec. 15, 2020, 20:30:54
Settled

USD 20.00

An Urgent Warning for Bill Gates

… % would do what the WHO thinks is good for them. The project was funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, amongst others. The researchers used a slimmed down version of a prediction market game …

Last: July 21, 2016, 09:52:40

Bürgerparlament

… New Democracy Foundation. Vor jedem Beschluss gibt es eine intensive Informations- und Debatten-Phase. Am Samstag trifft man sich physisch, dazwischen online. Entscheidungen fallen typischerweise …

Last: Aug. 29, 2017, 11:52:49

Will Donald Trump be a good President, and why?

… irreparable damage. 🔺CDC backtracked their initial claim that led governors to shutdown their states & clarified that COVID19 does not spread easily on surfaces. 🔺Governor of New York Andrew Cuomo …

Last: Jan. 24, 2021, 11:15:47
Settled

USD 100.00

Will Joe Biden be a good President, and why?

… ;Executive actions can't create new laws — they have to exist within the constraints of the Constitution and existing statute. They direct the executive branch to do what is already in its power …

Last: Oct. 24, 2023, 04:19:51
Active

USD 0.00

Clinton: What percentage of delegates will nominate Hillary Clinton at the 2016 Democratic National...

… not invested your credits though ... Bernie will likely win New Hampshire, but once the primaries in the South kick in Hillary's momentum will grow and Bernie will need to present a more diverse set …

Last: Aug. 13, 2016, 23:54:24
Settled

USD 20.03

Prognosemärkte für Demokratie

… ., Hofkirchner, H., et al.: The Marketing Research Revolution. A Marketer's Guide to Emerging New Methods. NMSBA, 2017. Zum ursprünglichen Manifest: The New Demarchy Manifesto Was ist ein Bürgerparlament …

Last: Aug. 31, 2018, 02:34:22

Wird GILT die erforderliche Anzahl von Unterstützungserklärungen erhalten?

… : Schon über 4.000 gültige Unterschriften von den gültigen Stimmen Österreichs. Es GILT! News Flash: Auch die Salzburger wollen nicht länger ungültige Stimmen bleiben! Mit Stand zum Nachmittag gibt es 206 …

Last: Aug. 14, 2017, 12:34:50
Settled

USD 50.00